The `MRTAnalysis`

package provides user-friendly functions
to conduct primary and secondary analyses for micro-randomized trial
(MRT), where the proximal outcomes are continuous or binary and the
intervention option is binary. For continuous outcomes, the estimated
causal effects are on the additive scale. For binary outcomes, the
estimated causal effects are on the log relative risk scale. In
particular, this package can be used to

- estimate the marginal causal excursion effect
- estimate the moderated causal excursion effect, i.e., the effect modification by time-fixed or time-varying covariates.

MRT is an experimental design for optimizing mobile health
interventions. The marginal and the moderated causal excursion effects
are the quantities of interest in primary and secondary analyses for
MRT. In this tutorial we briefly review MRT and causal excursion
effects, and illustrate the use of the estimators implemented in this
package for conducting primary and secondary analyses of MRT:
`wcls()`

(weighted and centered least squares, for MRT with
continuous outcomes) and `emee()`

(estimator for marginal
excursion effect, for MRT with binary outcome).

In an MRT, each participant is repeatedly randomized among treatment options many times throughout the trial. Suppose there are \(n\) participants, and for the \(i\)-th participant, they are enrolled in the trial for \(m_i\) decision points. (In many MRT, the number of decision points \(m_i\) is the same for all participants. This package also automatically handles the setting where \(m_i\) is different for different participants, so we present the data structure in a more general way.)

For the \(i\)-th participant at the \(t\)-th decision point, we use the triplet \((X_{it}, A_{it}, Y_{it})\) to denote the data collected, where

- \(X_{it}\) denotes the (vector of) time-varying covariates.
- \(A_{it}\) denotes the binary
treatment assignment; \(A_{it} = 1\) if
randomized to intervention, \(A_{it} =
0\) if randomized to no intervention.
- \(A_{it}\) is randomized with success probability \(p_{it}\). For many MRTs the \(p_{it}\) is a constant throughout the trial for all participants (e.g., \(p_{it} = 0.6\)), but for some MRTs \(p_{it}\) may depend on the past observations of the participant and thus is different for different \((i,t)\) combinations. This packages handles both situations.

- \(Y_{it}\) denotes the proximal
outcome (continuous or binary) following \(A_{it}\).
- In some literature, the proximal outcome following \(A_{it}\) is written as \(Y_{i,t+1}\). We use \(Y_{it}\) here because this aligns with the
`data.frame`

input: each row in the`data.frame`

would correspond to \((X_{it}, A_{it}, Y_{it})\) (and possibly other variables — see below) for a specific \((i,t)\) combination.

- In some literature, the proximal outcome following \(A_{it}\) is written as \(Y_{i,t+1}\). We use \(Y_{it}\) here because this aligns with the

An MRT may include availability considerations. When it is inappropriate or unethical to deliver interventions to an individual, that individual is considered “unavailable”, and no intervention will be delivered at that decision point so \(A_{it} = 0\).

Mathematically, we use \(I_{it}\) denotes the availability status of participant \(i\) at decision point \(t\): \(I_{it} = 1\) if available and \(I_{it} = 0\) if unavailable. Temporal-wise, availability \(I_{it}\) is determined before \(A_{it}\), and one can conceptualize it by considering \(I_{it}\) to be measured at the same time as \(X_{it}\).

To use any of the estimators in this package, you need to prepare
your data set as a `data.frame`

in long format, meaning that
each row records observations from a decision point of a participant
(i.e., \((X_{it}, A_{it}, Y_{it})\)
(and possibly other variables — see below) for a specific \((i,t)\) combination). The
`data.frame`

should be sorted so that consecutive rows should
be from adjacent decision points from the same participant. Furthermore,
the data set should contain the following columns:

- A user id column that distinguishes different participants.
- An outcome column that contains the proximal outcome.
- A treatment assignment column that contains the binary treatment assignment \(A_{it}\) (0 or 1, 1 being the active treatment such as sending a push notification and 0 being the control option such as not sending a push notification).
- Columns that record baseline and time-varying covariates that will be used as control variables and/or moderators in the analysis.

The data set may also contain the following columns, depending on your MRT:

- If in your MRT the randomization probability is not a constant throughout, your data set should include a randomization probability column that contains the randomization probability \(p_{it}\).
- If your MRT has availability considerations, your data set should include an availability column that contains the availability status \(I_{it}\).
- Optional: If in your MRT the randomization probability is not a
constant throughout, you may also provide an optional column that
contains the so-called numerator probability. A carefully constructed
numerator probability column may reduce the standard error of the causal
effect estimates. If you are not sure what this numerator probability
is, feel free to ignore it. See Boruvka
*and others*(2018) and Qian*and others*(2021) for details.

```
library(MRTAnalysis)
<- options(digits = 3) # save current options for restoring later current_options
```

The following code uses `wcls()`

to estimate the fully
marginal causal excursion effect from a synthetic data set
`data_mimicHeartSteps`

that mimics the HeartSteps V1 MRT
(Klasnja *and others* (2015)). This
data set contains observations for 37 individuals at 210 different time
points. The data set contains the following variables:

`userid`

: id number of an individual.`time`

: index of decision point.`day_in_study`

: day in the study.`logstep_30min`

: the proximal outcome, i.e., the step count in the 30 minutes following the current decision point (log-transformed).`logstep_30min_lag1`

: the proximal outcome at the previous decision point (lag-1 outcome), i.e., the step count in the 30 minutes following the previous decision point (log-transformed).`logstep_pre30min`

: the step count in the 30 minutes prior to the current decision point (log-transformed).`is_at_home_or_work`

: whether the individual is at home or work (=1) or at other locations (=0) at the current decision point.`intervention`

: whether the intervention is randomized to be delivered (=1) or not (=0) at the current decision point; the randomization probability is a constant 0.6 for this data set, mimicking HeartSteps V1.`avail`

: whether the individual is available (=1) or not (=0) at the current decision point.

A summary of `data_mimicHeartSteps`

is as follows:

```
head(data_mimicHeartSteps, 10)
#> userid decision_point day_in_study logstep_30min logstep_30min_lag1
#> 1 1 1 0 2.3902 0.0000
#> 2 1 2 0 -0.6931 2.3902
#> 3 1 3 0 2.4647 -0.6931
#> 4 1 4 0 0.1207 2.4647
#> 5 1 5 0 0.8322 0.1207
#> 6 1 6 1 1.8450 0.8322
#> 7 1 7 1 4.6315 1.8450
#> 8 1 8 1 4.1929 4.6315
#> 9 1 9 1 -0.0344 4.1929
#> 10 1 10 1 -0.1495 -0.0344
#> logstep_pre30min is_at_home_or_work intervention rand_prob avail
#> 1 -0.693 1 0 0.6 0
#> 2 2.196 1 0 0.6 1
#> 3 4.589 1 1 0.6 1
#> 4 3.179 1 1 0.6 1
#> 5 3.295 0 0 0.6 0
#> 6 4.666 1 0 0.6 0
#> 7 3.774 0 0 0.6 1
#> 8 -0.693 1 1 0.6 1
#> 9 -0.693 0 1 0.6 1
#> 10 -0.693 1 1 0.6 1
```

In the following function call of `wcls()`

, we specify the
proximal outcome variable by `outcome = logstep_30min`

. We
specify the treatment variable by `treatment = intervention`

.
We specify the constant randomization probability by
`rand_prob = 0.6`

. We specify the fully marginal effect as
the quantity to be estimated by setting
`moderator_formula = ~1`

. We use
`logstep_pre30min`

as a control variable by setting
`control_formula = ~logstep_pre30min`

. We specify the
availability variable by `availability = avail`

.

```
<- wcls(
fit1 data = data_mimicHeartSteps,
id = "userid",
outcome = "logstep_30min",
treatment = "intervention",
rand_prob = 0.6,
moderator_formula = ~1,
control_formula = ~logstep_pre30min,
availability = "avail"
)#> Constant randomization probability 0.6 is used.
#> Constant numerator probability 0.5 is used.
summary(fit1)
#> $call
#> wcls(data = data_mimicHeartSteps, id = "userid", outcome = "logstep_30min",
#> treatment = "intervention", rand_prob = 0.6, moderator_formula = ~1,
#> control_formula = ~logstep_pre30min, availability = "avail")
#>
#> $causal_excursion_effect
#> Estimate 95% LCL 95% UCL StdErr Hotelling df1 df2 p-value
#> (Intercept) 0.157 0.031 0.284 0.0622 6.4 1 34 0.0162
```

The `summary()`

function provides the estimated causal
excursion effect as well as the 95% confidence interval, standard error,
and p-value. The only row in the output
`$causal_excursion_effect`

is named `(Intercept)`

,
indicating that this is the fully marginal effect (like an intercept in
the causal effect model). In particular, the estimated marginal
excursion effect is 0.157, with 95% confidence interval (0.031, 0.284),
and p-value 0.016. The confidence interval and the p-value are based on
a small sample correction technique that is based on Hotelling’s T
distribution, so the Hotelling’s T statistic (`Hotelling`

)
and the degrees of freedom (`df1`

and `df2`

) are
also printed. See Boruvka *and others* (2018)
for details on the small sample correction.

One can include more control variables, e.g., by setting
`control_formula = ~logstep_pre30min + logstep_30min_lag1 + is_at_home_or_work`

.
This is illustrated by the following code. Different choices of control
variables should lead to similar causal effect estimates, but better
control variables (i.e., those that are correlated with the proximal
outcome) usually decrease the standard error of the causal effect
estimates. This is the case here: the standard error of the marginal
causal excursion effect decreases slightly from 0.062 to 0.061 after we
included two additional control variables.

```
<- wcls(
fit2 data = data_mimicHeartSteps,
id = "userid",
outcome = "logstep_30min",
treatment = "intervention",
rand_prob = 0.6,
moderator_formula = ~1,
control_formula = ~ logstep_pre30min + logstep_30min_lag1 + is_at_home_or_work,
availability = "avail"
)#> Constant randomization probability 0.6 is used.
#> Constant numerator probability 0.5 is used.
summary(fit2)
#> $call
#> wcls(data = data_mimicHeartSteps, id = "userid", outcome = "logstep_30min",
#> treatment = "intervention", rand_prob = 0.6, moderator_formula = ~1,
#> control_formula = ~logstep_pre30min + logstep_30min_lag1 +
#> is_at_home_or_work, availability = "avail")
#>
#> $causal_excursion_effect
#> Estimate 95% LCL 95% UCL StdErr Hotelling df1 df2 p-value
#> (Intercept) 0.159 0.0351 0.283 0.0607 6.84 1 32 0.0135
```

One can ask `summary()`

to print out the fitted
coefficients for the control variables as well, by setting
`show_control_fit = TRUE`

. This is illustrated by the
following code. However, we caution against interpreting the fitted
coefficients for the control variables, because these coefficients are
only interpretable when the control model is correctly specified, which
can rarely be true in an MRT setting.

```
summary(fit2, show_control_fit = TRUE)
#> Interpreting the fitted coefficients for control variables is not recommended.
#> $call
#> wcls(data = data_mimicHeartSteps, id = "userid", outcome = "logstep_30min",
#> treatment = "intervention", rand_prob = 0.6, moderator_formula = ~1,
#> control_formula = ~logstep_pre30min + logstep_30min_lag1 +
#> is_at_home_or_work, availability = "avail")
#>
#> $causal_excursion_effect
#> Estimate 95% LCL 95% UCL StdErr Hotelling df1 df2 p-value
#> (Intercept) 0.159 0.0351 0.283 0.0607 6.84 1 32 0.0135
#>
#> $control_variables
#> Estimate 95% LCL 95% UCL StdErr Hotelling df1 df2 p-value
#> (Intercept) 1.8373 1.7222 1.9524 0.0565 1056.59 1 32 0.000000
#> logstep_pre30min 0.3400 0.2997 0.3803 0.0198 295.31 1 32 0.000000
#> logstep_30min_lag1 0.0399 0.0181 0.0618 0.0107 13.84 1 32 0.000764
#> is_at_home_or_work 0.1355 0.0263 0.2447 0.0536 6.39 1 32 0.016585
```

The following code uses `wcls()`

to estimate the causal
excursion effect moderated by the location of the individual,
`is_at_home_or_work`

. This is achieved by setting
`moderator_formula = ~is_at_home_or_work`

.

```
<- wcls(
fit3 data = data_mimicHeartSteps,
id = "userid",
outcome = "logstep_30min",
treatment = "intervention",
rand_prob = 0.6,
moderator_formula = ~is_at_home_or_work,
control_formula = ~ logstep_pre30min + logstep_30min_lag1 + is_at_home_or_work,
availability = "avail"
)#> Constant randomization probability 0.6 is used.
#> Constant numerator probability 0.5 is used.
summary(fit3)
#> $call
#> wcls(data = data_mimicHeartSteps, id = "userid", outcome = "logstep_30min",
#> treatment = "intervention", rand_prob = 0.6, moderator_formula = ~is_at_home_or_work,
#> control_formula = ~logstep_pre30min + logstep_30min_lag1 +
#> is_at_home_or_work, availability = "avail")
#>
#> $causal_excursion_effect
#> Estimate 95% LCL 95% UCL StdErr Hotelling df1 df2 p-value
#> (Intercept) 0.109 -0.0288 0.247 0.0677 2.606 1 31 0.117
#> is_at_home_or_work 0.135 -0.1661 0.436 0.1475 0.835 1 31 0.368
```

The moderated causal excursion effect is modeled as a linear form:
\(\beta_0 + \beta_1 \cdot
\text{is_at_home_or_work}\). The output
`$causal_excursion_effect`

contains two rows, one for \(\beta_0\) (with row name
`(Intercept)`

) and the other for \(\beta_1\) (with row name
`is_at_home_or_work`

). Here, \(\beta_0\) is the causal excursion effect
when the individual is not at home or work (estimate = 0.109, 95% CI =
(-0.029, 0.247), p = 0.117), and \(\beta_1\) is the difference in the causal
excursion effects between when at home or work and when at other
locations (estimate = 0.135, 95% CI = (-0.166, 0.435), p = 0.368).

One can also ask `summary()`

to calculate and print the
estimated coefficients for \(\beta_0 +
\beta_1\), the causal excursion effect when the individual is at
home or work, by using the `lincomb`

optional argument. This
is illustrated by the following code. We set
`lincomb = c(1, 1)`

, i.e., asks `summary()`

to
print out \([1, 1] \times (\beta_0, \beta_1)^T
= \beta_0 + \beta_1\). The third row in
`$causal_excursion_effect`

, named
`(Intercept) + is_at_home_or_work`

, is the fitted result for
this \(\beta_0 + \beta_1\) coefficient
combination.

```
summary(fit3, lincomb = c(1, 1))
#> $call
#> wcls(data = data_mimicHeartSteps, id = "userid", outcome = "logstep_30min",
#> treatment = "intervention", rand_prob = 0.6, moderator_formula = ~is_at_home_or_work,
#> control_formula = ~logstep_pre30min + logstep_30min_lag1 +
#> is_at_home_or_work, availability = "avail")
#>
#> $causal_excursion_effect
#> Estimate 95% LCL 95% UCL StdErr Hotelling df1
#> (Intercept) 0.109 -0.0288 0.247 0.0677 2.606 1
#> is_at_home_or_work 0.135 -0.1661 0.436 0.1475 0.835 1
#> (Intercept) + is_at_home_or_work 0.244 0.0846 0.403 0.1260 3.753 2
#> df2 p-value
#> (Intercept) 31 0.11661
#> is_at_home_or_work 31 0.36787
#> (Intercept) + is_at_home_or_work 31 0.00187
```

Based on the output, the causal excursion effect at home or work is estimated to be 0.244, with 95% CI (0.085, 0.403) and p-value 0.002.

The syntax of `emee()`

is exactly the same as
`wcls()`

. We illustrate the use of `emee()`

below
for completeness.

The following code uses `emee()`

to estimate the fully
marginal causal excursion effect from a synthetic data set
`data_binary`

. This data set contains observations for 100
individuals at 30 different time points. The data set contains the
following variables:

`userid`

: id number of an individual.`time`

: index of decision point.`time_var1`

: time-varying covariate 1 for illustration purpose. Here it is defined as the “standardized time in study”, defined as the current decision point index divided by the total number of decision points.`time_var2`

: time-varying covariate 2 for illustration purpose. Here it is the indicator of “the second half of the study”, defined as whether the current decision point index is greater than the total number of decision points divided by 2.`Y`

: the binary proximal outcome.`A`

: whether the intervention is randomized to be delivered (=1) or not (=0) at the current decision point;`rand_prob`

: the randomization probability at each decision point, which is not a constant over time.`avail`

: whether the individual is available (=1) or not (=0) at the current decision point.

A summary of `data_binary`

is as follows:

```
head(data_binary, 30)
#> userid time time_var1 time_var2 Y A avail rand_prob
#> 1 1 1 0.0333 0 0 0 1 0.3
#> 2 1 2 0.0667 0 0 1 1 0.5
#> 3 1 3 0.1000 0 0 0 1 0.7
#> 4 1 4 0.1333 0 1 0 0 0.3
#> 5 1 5 0.1667 0 0 0 0 0.5
#> 6 1 6 0.2000 0 0 0 0 0.7
#> 7 1 7 0.2333 0 0 0 1 0.3
#> 8 1 8 0.2667 0 0 1 1 0.5
#> 9 1 9 0.3000 0 0 0 1 0.7
#> 10 1 10 0.3333 0 1 0 1 0.3
#> 11 1 11 0.3667 0 0 0 1 0.5
#> 12 1 12 0.4000 0 0 1 1 0.7
#> 13 1 13 0.4333 0 1 0 1 0.3
#> 14 1 14 0.4667 0 0 0 1 0.5
#> 15 1 15 0.5000 0 1 1 1 0.7
#> 16 1 16 0.5333 1 0 0 1 0.3
#> 17 1 17 0.5667 1 1 1 1 0.5
#> 18 1 18 0.6000 1 1 0 1 0.7
#> 19 1 19 0.6333 1 1 0 1 0.3
#> 20 1 20 0.6667 1 1 0 1 0.5
#> 21 1 21 0.7000 1 0 1 1 0.7
#> 22 1 22 0.7333 1 1 0 1 0.3
#> 23 1 23 0.7667 1 1 1 1 0.5
#> 24 1 24 0.8000 1 1 0 0 0.7
#> 25 1 25 0.8333 1 1 1 1 0.3
#> 26 1 26 0.8667 1 1 1 1 0.5
#> 27 1 27 0.9000 1 1 0 1 0.7
#> 28 1 28 0.9333 1 1 1 1 0.3
#> 29 1 29 0.9667 1 0 1 1 0.5
#> 30 1 30 1.0000 1 1 1 1 0.7
```

In the following function call of `emee()`

, we specify the
proximal outcome variable by `outcome = Y`

. We specify the
treatment variable by `treatment = A`

. We specify the
randomization probability by `rand_prob = rand_prob`

(the
first `rand_prob`

is an argument of `emee()`

; the
second `rand_prob`

is a column in `data_binary`

).
We specify the fully marginal effect as the quantity to be estimated by
setting `moderator_formula = ~1`

. We use
`time_var1`

and `time_var2`

as control variables
by setting `control_formula = ~ time_var1 + time_var2`

. We
specify the availability variable by
`availability = avail`

.

```
<- emee(
fit4 data = data_binary,
id = "userid",
outcome = "Y",
treatment = "A",
rand_prob = "rand_prob",
moderator_formula = ~1,
control_formula = ~ time_var1 + time_var2,
availability = "avail"
)#> Constant numerator probability 0.5 is used.
summary(fit4)
#> $call
#> emee(data = data_binary, id = "userid", outcome = "Y", treatment = "A",
#> rand_prob = "rand_prob", moderator_formula = ~1, control_formula = ~time_var1 +
#> time_var2, availability = "avail")
#>
#> $causal_excursion_effect
#> Estimate 95% LCL 95% UCL StdErr t_value df p-value
#> (Intercept) 0.341 0.241 0.44 0.05 6.81 96 8.54e-10
```

The `summary()`

function provides the estimated causal
excursion effect as well as the 95% confidence interval, standard error,
and p-value. The only row in the output
`$causal_excursion_effect`

is named `(Intercept)`

,
indicating that this is the fully marginal effect (like an intercept in
the causal effect model). In particular, the estimated marginal
excursion effect is 0.341 (on the log relative risk scale), with 95%
confidence interval (0.241, 0.44), and p-value\(<0.001\).

One can ask `summary()`

to print out the fitted
coefficients for the control variables as well, by setting
`show_control_fit = TRUE`

. This is illustrated by the
following code. However, we caution against interpreting the fitted
coefficients for the control variables, because these coefficients are
only interpretable when the control model is correctly specified, which
can rarely be true in an MRT setting.

```
summary(fit4, show_control_fit = TRUE)
#> Interpreting the fitted coefficients for control variables is not recommended.
#> $call
#> emee(data = data_binary, id = "userid", outcome = "Y", treatment = "A",
#> rand_prob = "rand_prob", moderator_formula = ~1, control_formula = ~time_var1 +
#> time_var2, availability = "avail")
#>
#> $causal_excursion_effect
#> Estimate 95% LCL 95% UCL StdErr t_value df p-value
#> (Intercept) 0.341 0.241 0.44 0.05 6.81 96 8.54e-10
#>
#> $control_variables
#> Estimate 95% LCL 95% UCL StdErr t_value df p-value
#> (Intercept) -1.580 -1.7154 -1.45 0.068 -23.26 96 3.13e-41
#> time_var1 0.672 0.2878 1.06 0.194 3.47 96 7.76e-04
#> time_var2 0.248 0.0268 0.47 0.112 2.22 96 2.84e-02
```

The following code uses `emee()`

to estimate the causal
excursion effect moderated by `time_var1`

. This is achieved
by setting `moderator_formula = ~time_var1`

.

```
<- emee(
fit5 data = data_binary,
id = "userid",
outcome = "Y",
treatment = "A",
rand_prob = "rand_prob",
moderator_formula = ~time_var1,
control_formula = ~ time_var1 + time_var2,
availability = "avail"
)#> Constant numerator probability 0.5 is used.
summary(fit5)
#> $call
#> emee(data = data_binary, id = "userid", outcome = "Y", treatment = "A",
#> rand_prob = "rand_prob", moderator_formula = ~time_var1,
#> control_formula = ~time_var1 + time_var2, availability = "avail")
#>
#> $causal_excursion_effect
#> Estimate 95% LCL 95% UCL StdErr t_value df p-value
#> (Intercept) 0.0811 -0.180 0.342 0.132 0.616 95 0.5391
#> time_var1 0.4293 0.051 0.808 0.191 2.253 95 0.0266
```

The moderated causal excursion effect is modeled as a linear form:
\(\beta_0 + \beta_1 \cdot
\text{time_var1}\). The output
`$causal_excursion_effect`

contains two rows, one for \(\beta_0\) (with row name
`(Intercept)`

) and the other for \(\beta_1\) (with row name
`time_var1`

). Here, \(\beta_0\) is the causal excursion effect
when `time_var1`

\(=0\)
(estimate = 0.081, 95% CI = (-0.180, 0.342), p = 0.54), and \(\beta_1\) is the slope of
`time_var1`

in the causal excursion effect model (estimate =
0.429, 95% CI = (0.051, 0.808), p = 0.03).

One can also ask `summary()`

to calculate and print the
linear combination of coefficients and their confidence interval,
standard error, and p-value, by using the `lincomb`

optional
argument. The following code sets
`lincomb = rbind(c(1, 0.0333), c(1, 0.5), c(1, 1))`

, i.e.,
asks `summary()`

to print out the estimates for \[
\begin{bmatrix}1 & 0.0333\\
1 & 0.5\\
1 & 1
\end{bmatrix}\times\begin{bmatrix}\beta_{0}\\
\beta_{1}
\end{bmatrix}=\begin{bmatrix}\beta_{0}+0.0333\beta_{1}\\
\beta_{0}+0.5\beta_{1}\\
\beta_{0}+\beta_{1}
\end{bmatrix}.
\] Because \(\beta_1\) is the
slope of `time_var1`

, which is a scaled version of decision
time index that starts at 0.0333 and ends at 1, \(\beta_0 + 0.0333\beta_1\), \(\beta_0 + 0.5\beta_1\) and \(\beta_0 + \beta_1\) are the causal
excursion effects at the beginning of the study, mid-way during the
study, and at the end of the study, respectively. The 3rd to 5th rows in
`$causal_excursion_effect`

show these results. Note that the
interpretation is under the assumption that the causal excursion effect
changes linearly over time.

```
summary(fit5, lincomb = rbind(c(1, 0.0333), c(1, 0.5), c(1, 1)))
#> $call
#> emee(data = data_binary, id = "userid", outcome = "Y", treatment = "A",
#> rand_prob = "rand_prob", moderator_formula = ~time_var1,
#> control_formula = ~time_var1 + time_var2, availability = "avail")
#>
#> $causal_excursion_effect
#> Estimate 95% LCL 95% UCL StdErr t_value df
#> (Intercept) 0.0811 -0.180 0.342 0.1316 0.616 95
#> time_var1 0.4293 0.051 0.808 0.1905 2.253 95
#> (Intercept) + 0.0333*time_var1 0.0954 -0.154 0.345 0.1258 0.759 95
#> (Intercept) + 0.5*time_var1 0.2958 0.183 0.409 0.0569 5.202 95
#> (Intercept) + time_var1 0.5105 0.341 0.680 0.0854 5.978 95
#> p-value
#> (Intercept) 5.39e-01
#> time_var1 2.66e-02
#> (Intercept) + 0.0333*time_var1 4.50e-01
#> (Intercept) + 0.5*time_var1 1.13e-06
#> (Intercept) + time_var1 3.93e-08
```

`options(current_options) # restore old options`

Below are some references:

- A review of MRT design, the causal excursion effect for continuous
outcome, and the weighted and centered least squares (WCLS) method:
Qian
*and others*(2022) - The original statistical paper on MRT with continuous outcome, which
proposed the causal excursion effect and the WCLS method: Boruvka
*and others*(2018) - The original statistical paper on MRT with binary outcome, which
proposed the causal excursion effect for binary outcome and the
estimator for marginal excursion effect (EMEE) method: Qian
*and others*(2021)

Boruvka, A., Almirall, D., Witkiewitz, K. and Murphy, S. A. (2018).
Assessing time-varying causal effect moderation in mobile health.
*Journal of the American Statistical Association*
**113**, 1112–1121.

Klasnja, P., Hekler, E. B., Shiffman, S., Boruvka, A., Almirall, D.,
Tewari, A. and Murphy, S. A. (2015). Microrandomized trials: An
experimental design for developing just-in-time adaptive interventions.
*Health Psychology* **34**, 1220.

Qian, T., Walton, A. E., Collins, L. M., Klasnja, P., Lanza, S. T.,
Nahum-Shani, I., Rabbi, M., Russell, M. A., Walton, M. A., Yoo, H., et
al. (2022). The microrandomized trial for developing digital
interventions: Experimental design and data analysis considerations.
*Psychological Methods*.

Qian, T., Yoo, H., Klasnja, P., Almirall, D. and Murphy, S. A. (2021).
Estimating time-varying causal excursion effects in mobile health with
binary outcomes. *Biometrika* **108**, 507–527.